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Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts - USD/ZAR Medium-Term

PRICE ACTION IS AT A KEY JUNCTURE


  • Summary: Expected upside off S1*/K to RA1 remains in line with the preferred view of impulsive upside to T1 and T2 over time.

  • The recent definitive upside off S1*/K confirms the illustrated bullish outlook and could have completed the PK triangle pattern.

  • A sustained break of RA1* is, however, required to activate these gains.

  • Alternative: Failure to break RA1* over the next trading period will suggest a deeper P/L correction to L/S2 (perforated arrow).

  • Important levels: S1* and RA1*.



Target and re-assessment levels:

Important levels: RA1* and S1*

Primary trend: RA1*/S1* consolidation, followed by a bull trend to T1/T2

Current trend: Gains off S1* to RA1*

Monthly Range: RA1*/S1*

Technical rating: Medium




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