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Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts - USD/ZAR Medium-Term

THE TRIANGLE PATTERN APPEARS TO BE APPROACHING COMPLETION.


  • The blue triangle pattern appears to be maturing and potentially the next price action might be the w,x,y final phase to conclude E.

  • The triangle pattern has completed phase D, somewhat earlier than expected.

  • The interim expectation is an 18.55 to 18.99 consolidation.

  • Cluster support from 19.32 and beyond should initiate a bullish reversal and trend to 19.99..

  • Alternative: A break below the pivotal 18.73 level (its 200-day simple moving average) will negate the triangle pattern and extend the downside to 17.62, truncating the w, x and y price action and the 1,2,3,4,5-bull trend.

 


Target and Reassessment Levels:

Important Levels: 18.29 and 18.99

Primary Trend: Triangle pattern consolidation, followed by a bull trend to 19.90 and beyond.

Current Trend: 18.99 to 18.29 consolidation

Monthly Range: 17.62 to 19.51

Technical Rating: Medium



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