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Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts - USD/ZAR Medium-Term

THE TRIANGLE PATTERN SEEMS TO BE IN A MATURED STAGE.


  • Summary: The blue triangle pattern appears to be maturing and potentially the next price action might be the W,X,Y final phase to conclude E.

  • The triangle pattern has completed phase D, somewhat earlier than expected.

  • The interim expectation is an 18.55 to 18.99 consolidation.

  • Cluster support from 19.27 to 19.52 should initiate a bullish reversal and trend to 19.99 and beyond..

  • Alternative: A break below the pivotal 18.12 level will negate the triangle pattern and extend the downside to 17.92, postponing the 1,2,3,4,5-bull trend.

 


Target and Reassessment Levels:

Important Levels: 18.55 and 18.99

Primary Trend: Triangle pattern consolidation, followed by a bull trend to 19.99 and beyond.

Current Trend: 18.55 to 18.99 consolidation

Monthly Range: 17 60 to 19.52

Technical Rating: Medium



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