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Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts: EUR/USD Medium-Term

THE PRICE ACTION WAS MODIFIED TO REFLECT A DIFFERENT PRICE PATH.


  • Our current outlook suggests a modest bearish trend towards 1.0460, followed by a potential correction back to 1.1130.

  • Furthermore, we anticipate price conditions to fluctuate broadly between points R and S, representing the upper and lower limits of the megaphone pattern, respectively. This pattern signifies escalating volatility and enlarging price fluctuations as the trend lines diverge.

  • It is noteworthy that the pair is currently testing its 200-day simple moving average, potentially serving as a significant support level.

  • The price movement appears to be engaged in wave c, hinting at the possibility of evolving into a complex, overlapping structure. For this to be realised, the price action needs to conclusively breach its 200-day moving average at 1.0839.

  • A further threshold of 1.0770 remains critical for the price forecast.   



Target and Re-assessment Levels:

Important Levels: 1.0988 and 1.0685

Primary Trend and Target Levels: Gains to 1.1300, then down to 1.0245

Monthly Range: 1.0685 to 1.0988

Prevailing Trend and Target Levels: Downside towards 1.0685

Technical Rating: Medium



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