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Writer's picturePeet Serfontein

Analyst Thoughts: Bitcoin - A bigger picture

THE EXTENDED BULLISH TREND SEEMS TO HAVE REACHED A TEMPORARY MATURATION.


  • General view: Our long-term bullish stance out of the KL wedge pattern is materialising as an extended bull trend.

  • The price action is most likely in a third-wave bull trend with phases 4 and 5 to develop still before the trend is complete.

  • The T1 to T3 area highlights possible Fibonacci extension levels.

  • The initial target of S0* was exceeded. This level is now the pivot for the immediate bullish outlook.

  • The preferred outcome is illustrated: Current gains could target cluster resistance at P/T1, followed by a meaningful correction to S1.

  • The final upside to T1/T2 should complete the bull trend and be followed by an A,B,C correction towards S2.

  • Note: The overbought RSI, coupled with the blow-off phase 3 of the bull market should lead to increasingly medium-term volatile moves. This would be similar to the previous comparable period (encircled RSI and after a strong bull trend to P.)  



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