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Writer's pictureLester Davids

A Multi-Year Winner, Now At Risk - Thursday, 08 August 2024

Pre-Market


To sign up as a client, e-mail lester@unum.co.za


As a long term shareholder, it may be time to reduce/trim long positions.

One of the benefits of being a client of Unum Capital means that you have access to our high quality research insights that identify opportunities with appropriate reward-to-risk and also, help you manage risk.


While the primary focus within research is short to medium term opportunities to generate cash flow, taking a 'bigger picture' view can create additional opportunities from a long term portfolio perspective.


An example would be a share listed on the JSE. One where I discussed the weekly chart with a medium term view. At a price of R41, the share has over the 3+ years since publication gained over 225% to trade above R134.



Now, considering the extent of the gain, as well as the new technical position, my analysis recognizes the price at a key inflection point which may be indicative of an unappealing reward-to-risk on the buy/long side.


With multi-month and multi-year trend lines in focus, a breach of the medium term incline support could see the share reverse it's gains.



As a long term shareholder, it may be time to reduce.


Lester Davids

Analyst: Unum Capital

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