📌Research: 21 - 25 April 2025
- Lester Davids
- 5 minutes ago
- 6 min read
[OPENING THOUGHT: JSE/Local Equities]: "...However, the readings for the week ending Thursday April 17th paint a different picture. The shift towards a majority of neutral and strong readings, along with the emergence of overbought and approaching overbought conditions in some constituents, suggests a.... This is an extract from the note: 'JSE Market Breadth: Interpretation of Market Conditions'. Read the full note here > https://www.unum.capital/post/interpretbr
To kick off the week, the following notes have been published. Additional notes will be added to this page throughout the course of the week, as and when key developments and opportunities are identified. To open a trading account and/or move from your existing service provider, email tradingdesk@unum.co.za
Updated: Volatility Equals Opportunity https://www.unum.capital/post/volaopp
Breadth: Interpretation of Market Conditions https://www.unum.capital/post/interpretbr
US30 / Dow Jones: Short Term Traders Grab 3800 Points https://www.unum.capital/post/3300pts
USD/ZAR: Unwinding From Overbought https://www.unum.capital/post/zarnext
Actionable Areas: Amplats, Implats, Northam Platinum https://www.unum.capital/post/platmnrs
Global Market Risk Index https://www.unum.capital/post/gmrisk
Strongest/Weakest Sectors https://www.unum.capital/post/sectrate
JSE Technical Summary: Mid/Large Caps https://www.unum.capital/post/tchsumm
12000 Points https://www.unum.capital/post/12kpoints
How To: Trade Naspers https://www.unum.capital/post/httnaspers
Click(s) Here To Take Profit https://www.unum.capital/post/clickhere
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/pacmt
Missed Last Week's Research? (14 - 18 April) Catch Up Below:
Offshore: Wheaton Precious Metals - Target Exceeded https://www.unum.capital/post/wheaton
Old Mutual https://www.unum.capital/post/omuupdte
Anglo American Platinum https://www.unum.capital/post/amplatsmodel
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/prcmnt
Pairs Trade Idea: Long RESI / Short FINI Now +50% https://www.unum.capital/post/sectorpairs
Sibanye Stillwater: Running +60% https://www.unum.capital/post/sixtypct
Live Commentary (Various) https://www.unum.capital/post/live16042025
New Gold Issuer: Reaches Record Level; Now +122% https://www.unum.capital/post/gld58
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/pracmnt
The 4 Trades You Missed (Including Northam Platinum) https://www.unum.capital/post/dontmissed
How To Trade: Sibanye Stillwater https://www.unum.capital/post/httssw
FX: GBP/USD https://www.unum.capital/post/pndllr
The Share Dipped Into Oversold, Then Rallied By 29% https://www.unum.capital/post/twninepct
EUR/USD Extended vs 75-EMA https://www.unum.capital/post/eurext
FirstRand: Bank/Take Profit; Running 19 to 21% https://www.unum.capital/post/bankfsr
US Sector Breadth: Current Leadership https://www.unum.capital/post/sctrbreadth
Impala Platinum https://www.unum.capital/post/trdimp
Spot Gold (XAU/USD) https://www.unum.capital/post/sptgold
One Week, 11000 Points: Our Research Is Your Opportunity https://www.unum.capital/post/11000pts
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/pricomm
USD/ZAR: 21-EMA in Focus https://www.unum.capital/post/zarbelow19
Truworths | AVI | Woolworths https://www.unum.capital/post/truavi
Live Commentary (Various) https://www.unum.capital/post/livemon1404
Absa | Old Mutual | Bidvest | Sappi https://www.unum.capital/post/volopty
U.S. Dollar: Overbought to Oversold + Updated Model Reading https://www.unum.capital/post/dxyoso
JSE Top 40 Index: +10000 Point + Updated Model Reading https://www.unum.capital/post/fortyten
JSE Market Breadth: Considerable Recovery https://www.unum.capital/post/recovery
Top 40 Index: 9000 Point Rally; Oversold To Neutral https://www.unum.capital/post/fortyntrl
USD/ZAR: Zooming In (S/Term) https://www.unum.capital/post/zapullback
USD/ZAR: Zooming Out (L/Term) https://www.unum.capital/post/zarplain
JSE Relative Sector Summaries https://www.unum.capital/post/sectsumma
US500/US30: Sharp Rally Off Risk Reading https://www.unum.capital/post/riskrally
4x High Demand / Approaching Overbought (Weekly (T/F) https://www.unum.capital/post/hidmnd
5x Overbought (Weekly (T/F) https://www.unum.capital/post/fiveobo
Standard Bank: Actionable Areas https://www.unum.capital/post/sbkacta
Mondi Plc: Actionable Areas https://www.unum.capital/post/mnpaction
MTN Group: Actionable Areas https://www.unum.capital/post/mtnactionable
Spar | Northam Platinum | Shoprite https://www.unum.capital/post/actionareas
High Impact: U.S. Relative Sector Analysis https://www.unum.capital/post/usrelsect
Richemont: Short/Long; Gap Filled + Rebound https://www.unum.capital/post/cfrebound
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/pricmt
14 Months Later It's Higher By 50% https://www.unum.capital/post/stxresfifty
JSE Gold Miners: Two Charts of Interest https://www.unum.capital/post/goldmnrs
Update: VanEck Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) Approaching Target https://www.unum.capital/post/gdxj-etf
Update: VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX): Running 42% https://www.unum.capital/post/gdxforty
Power Moves: Shoprite, African Rainbow, Impala & More... https://www.unum.capital/post/powermoves
DRD Gold: Running 80 to 85%, Exceeding Price Target https://www.unum.capital/post/drd80
Missed The Research for 07 - 11 April? Catch Up Below:
JSE Top 40 Index https://www.unum.capital/post/fortyneutral
Trading US30: Lower by 1700 - 1900 Points https://www.unum.capital/post/dowdown
Six Research Notes Which Helped Our Clients This Week https://www.unum.capital/post/noteshelp
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/pacomments
Our Research, Your Opportunity: Nasdaq Rallies +10% https://www.unum.capital/post/oppspot
Brent Crude Oil: Ultra Short Term Traders Score 7 to 10% https://www.unum.capital/post/brentsvn
Trading US500 / S&P 500 Index / https://www.unum.capital/post/trdeus500
Trading Naspers https://www.unum.capital/post/trading-naspers
Trading US Dollar / Japanese Yen https://www.unum.capital/post/yenlower
Trading Sibanye Stillwater https://www.unum.capital/post/sswnineapril
Market Risk Index: The Weekly Reading Is Worth Noting! https://www.unum.capital/post/weeklyrisk
Trading US30 Index / Dow Jones https://www.unum.capital/post/trus30
Brent Crude Oil: Weekly Structure https://www.unum.capital/post/brntwkly
Trading Richemont https://www.unum.capital/post/richerebound
JSE Top 40 Extending Gains (+8% or +5800c Points) https://www.unum.capital/post/fortyextend
Traders Score With FirstRand https://www.unum.capital/post/fsr13
Trading Capitec Bank https://www.unum.capital/post/capitecaa
Traders, Did You Notice This? https://www.unum.capital/post/notice
Trading South 32 https://www.unum.capital/post/thirtytwo
Trading Silver (XAG/USD) https://www.unum.capital/post/tradingsilv
Overbought...Then Lower By 3000c https://www.unum.capital/post/obo3000
Trading EUR/USD https://www.unum.capital/post/eurft
Trading Spot Gold (XAU/USD) https://www.unum.capital/post/xauretreat
JSE Top 40 Index: Oversold Reading Unwinds... https://www.unum.capital/post/fortyrebound
Breadth Data: Oversold Goes From 40 Shares To ... https://www.unum.capital/post/breadthreward
For The Session, Platinum Miners... https://www.unum.capital/post/pgmlead
USD/ZAR: Ultra Short Term Sees... https://www.unum.capital/post/zarrewardrisk
FirstRand Generating Cash, Rebounding 7% https://www.unum.capital/post/firstcash
Prosus Generating Cash With A 5200c Rebound https://www.unum.capital/post/prosusgen
April 2025: Volatility Equals Opportunity https://www.unum.capital/post/volopportunity
Russell 3000 Breadth: These Charts Help Us Understand... https://www.unum.capital/post/rus3k
*Helping Clients Manage Risk https://www.unum.capital/post/mngrisk
*High Impact: JSE Relative Sector Ratings https://www.unum.capital/post/relasec
*High Impact: U.S. Relative Sector Analysis https://www.unum.capital/post/ussectora
Market Risk Index: Weekly & Monthly Time Frames https://www.unum.capital/post/riskindex
S&P 500: Bear Target Reached. Post-Market Comment https://www.unum.capital/post/spybeartarget
S&P 500: For Clients, This Was A Risk To Consider https://www.unum.capital/post/spyimarket
Breadth: S&P 500 % Constituents Above Their 200-Day https://www.unum.capital/post/us200day
Protected By Treasuries: US10Y Dips Below 3.8% https://www.unum.capital/post/usten
I Was Wrong Here: Glencore Stop-Loss Breached https://www.unum.capital/post/glnstop
JSE Market Breadth: After The Close https://www.unum.capital/post/breadthpost
JSE Top 40 Index (-8700 Points) https://www.unum.capital/post/fortyretreat
JSE Top 40 Index: Weekly Chart Analysis https://www.unum.capital/post/fortyweekly
Updates: Copper | Gold | Silver | Palladium | Platinum https://www.unum.capital/post/hardcomm
U.S. Sector Breadth: Leaders & Laggards https://www.unum.capital/post/ussecbrea
Anglo American: Channel Resistance + Below '08 Cycle Highs https://www.unum.capital/post/anglocycle
Commodity Analysis https://www.unum.capital/post/commodity-analysis
From Above R80 to Below R50. Helping Clients Manage Risk https://www.unum.capital/post/whl200w
Prosus: Actionable Area https://www.unum.capital/post/prxaa
FirstRand: Actionable Area https://www.unum.capital/post/fsraction
MTN Group: Actionable Area https://www.unum.capital/post/aamtn
Shoprite: Monthly MACD Development https://www.unum.capital/post/shpmacd
Standard Bank: Continues To... https://www.unum.capital/post/sbkcycle
Capitec/Top 40 Ratio MACD Development https://www.unum.capital/post/cpimacd
Diversified Miners: Key Level + Relative Strength https://www.unum.capital/post/minersforty
Consumer Staples + Utilities: Using Sectors... https://www.unum.capital/post/staplestrength
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/pricecomments
17x Oversold (Weekly T/F) https://www.unum.capital/post/osoweekly
8x High Demand / Approaching Overbought (Weekly (T/F) https://www.unum.capital/post/hidemand8
15x High Bearish Mo / Approaching Oversold (Weekly T/F) https://www.unum.capital/post/highbear15
5 Themes That Unum Capital Clients Have Been Prepared For https://www.unum.capital/post/bigpic
Missed The Prior Week's Research? (31 March - 04 April). Catch Up Below:
Higher by 50% in 16 Months https://www.unum.capital/post/fiftypercent
Vodacom: Banking R10 https://www.unum.capital/post/vodpaid
Technical Screen: Oversold + Potential Piercing Candles https://www.unum.capital/post/osopiercing
JSE Market Breadth: Key Takeaways https://www.unum.capital/post/mktbreadth
Now Lower by 29%: Model In Line & Meta Shorts Generating Cash https://www.unum.capital/post/meta24
Amidst The Volatility, There Are Opportunities To Make Money https://www.unum.capital/post/amidst
Trading Capitec. For Shorts, A 16% Decline https://www.unum.capital/post/capitec16
MTN Group Shorts Generating Cash (-9%, or -1155c) https://www.unum.capital/post/mtneleven
Impala Platinum Day Two of Generating Cash https://www.unum.capital/post/impdaytwo
Strategy Alert: Standard Bank https://www.unum.capital/post/stratsbk
Trading Absa https://www.unum.capital/post/abgprob
Strategy Alert: Aspen Pharmacare https://www.unum.capital/post/strat-aspen
Thungela Gives Gives S/T Traders A 600c Gain https://www.unum.capital/post/tga600
JSE Technical Summary: Mid & Large Caps https://www.unum.capital/post/jsetechsum
Truworths: Stop-Loss Breached. Idea Now Closed https://www.unum.capital/post/trusl
Trading Capitec Bank https://www.unum.capital/post/cpilower
Trading Foschini: Levels of Buying Interest https://www.unum.capital/post/tfglvls
MTN Group: Shorts Generating Cash (-4.9%, or -626c) https://www.unum.capital/post/mtnlower
Impala Platinum Paying Active Traders! https://www.unum.capital/post/impala340
Trading Vodacom https://www.unum.capital/post/vodgain
Trading Northam Platinum https://www.unum.capital/post/tradenph
Trading Note: Impala Platinum https://www.unum.capital/post/tnimpala
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/pacommentary
Getting Paid With Thungela Resources https://www.unum.capital/post/tgaprofit
Shoprite: Trading 1000c Higher https://www.unum.capital/post/shp1000c
[Offshore] Altria: Running +9% https://www.unum.capital/post/altria-running
JSE Market Breadth: Key Takeaways https://www.unum.capital/post/sabreadth
Unum Capital Commentary For Bloomberg https://www.unum.capital/post/unumbbg
How To Bank 100 Points (S&P 500 Index) https://www.unum.capital/post/100points
Top 10 Weakest Shares / Low Demand https://www.unum.capital/post/bottomtenweak
Top 10 Strongest Shares / High Demand https://www.unum.capital/post/toptenstrong
JSE Top 40 Index: Retreating From Inflection Point https://www.unum.capital/post/topfortyindex
Thungela Resources: Have You Considered This Angle https://www.unum.capital/post/thungela-angle
Brent Crude Oil Running +7.8% https://www.unum.capital/post/crude-7pct
Global Utilities. Positioned For Alpha (3-Month High) https://www.unum.capital/post/jxialpha
Trading USD/ZAR https://www.unum.capital/post/tradusdzar
Van Eck Gold Miners ETF Running +33% https://www.unum.capital/post/gdxetf-running
Trading The Numbers: U.S Non-Farm Payrolls https://www.unum.capital/post/tradingpayroll
Market Risk Index: Weekly & Monthly Time Frames https://www.unum.capital/post/mktrisk
[High Impact] JSE Relative Sector Ratings https://www.unum.capital/post/sectorsum
[High Impact] U.S. Relative Sector Analysis https://www.unum.capital/post/ussectr
US Tech: Why Ratio Charts Are A Part Of Our Process https://www.unum.capital/post/positioning
The Bigger Picture: 5 Themes That Unum Capital Clients... https://www.unum.capital/post/5themes
Trading S&P 500 Index https://www.unum.capital/post/spxchannel
Yields Down, Price Up. Well Done Bond Buyers https://www.unum.capital/post/yields-down
Gold: Long Term Inflection Point https://www.unum.capital/post/gold-trend
U.S. Sector Breadth: Leaders & Laggards https://www.unum.capital/post/ussctbreadth
Trading Richemont https://www.unum.capital/post/trade-cfr
Trading Sasol https://www.unum.capital/post/trading-sasol
Trading British American Tobacco https://www.unum.capital/post/trading-british
Trading Naspers & Prosus https://www.unum.capital/post/npnprx
Trading JSE Insurers https://www.unum.capital/post/trd-insurers
'...And Then I Sold The Share For A Profit...' https://www.unum.capital/post/foraprofit
Investec: Unwinding From Long Term Resistance https://www.unum.capital/post/inlzoom
Sibanye: After a 40% Rally, Here's What The Data Says https://www.unum.capital/post/sibanye-forty
Telkom: Well Done Longs. Now 63% Higher + Overbought https://www.unum.capital/post/telkom-sixty
Glencore Relative To Copper https://www.unum.capital/post/glencore-copper
Richards Bay Coal Futures https://www.unum.capital/post/rbcoal
JSE Gold Miners: After a 60% Rally, Here's What The Data Says https://www.unum.capital/post/minersixty
These 3 Shares Closed In Overbought Territory https://www.unum.capital/post/3xobo
Price Action Commentary: Short & Medium Term https://www.unum.capital/post/pamodel
Zooming Out: Harmony Gold https://www.unum.capital/post/zoom-har
Zooming Out: PGM Miners / Top 40 Index https://www.unum.capital/post/zoom-pgm
8x High Demand / Approaching Overbought (Weekly (T/F) https://www.unum.capital/post/bullmoweek
8x High Bearish Mo / Approaching Oversold (Weekly T/F) https://www.unum.capital/post/hibearmoweek
Lester Davids
Analyst: Unum Capital
Archive / Year-To Date Research Links:
14 April to 18 April https://www.unum.capital/post/research-14-18-april-2025
7 April to 11 April https://www.unum.capital/post/research-07-11-april-2025
31 March to 04 April https://www.unum.capital/post/research-31-march-04-april-2025
24 March to 28 March https://www.unum.capital/post/research-24-28-march-2025
17 March to 21 March https://www.unum.capital/post/research-17-21-march-2025
10 March to 14 March https://www.unum.capital/post/research-10-14-march-2025
02 January to 07 March https://www.unum.capital/post/latest-research-january-2025
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